Andrewgelman - andrewgelman.com - Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Bayesian model averaging or fitting a larger model 27 Aug 2013 | 06:23 pm

Nick Firoozye writes: I had a question about BMA [Bayesian model averaging] and model combinations in general, and direct it to you since they are a basic form of hierarchical model, albeit in the si...

A new Bem theory 25 Aug 2013 | 06:17 pm

The other day I was talking with someone who knows Daryl Bem a bit, and he was sharing his thoughts on that notorious ESP paper that was published in a leading journal in the field but then was mocked...

All inference is about generalizing from sample to population 24 Aug 2013 | 06:28 pm

Jeff Walker writes: Your blog has skirted around the value of observational studies and chided folks for using causal language when they only have associations but I sense that you ultimately find va...

Measurement error in monkey studies 24 Aug 2013 | 06:22 pm

Following up on our recent discussion of combative linguist Noam Chomsky and disgraced primatologist Marc Hauser, here are some stories from Jay Livingston about monkey research. Don’t get me wrong—I...

“I mean, what exact buttons do I have to hit?” 23 Aug 2013 | 06:30 pm

This American Life reporter Gabriel Rhodes says: This is one of the big differences between Jon and Anthony, between scientist and non-scientist. For Jon, having a year’s worth of work suddenly throw...

Improvements to Kindle Version of BDA3 22 Aug 2013 | 08:27 pm

I let Andrew know about the comments about the defective Kindle version of BDA2 and he wrote to his editor at Chapman and Hall, Rob Calver, who wrote back with this info: I can guarantee that the Kin...

“The comment section is open, but I’m not going to read them” 22 Aug 2013 | 06:30 pm

That’s Tyler Cowen’s policy. I read almost all the comments here. I’m glad I read them, I think. Over the years, I’ve learned a lot of interesting things from the comments. Sometimes, though, I wish I...

Workshop for Women in Machine Learning 22 Aug 2013 | 02:53 am

This might interest some of you: CALL FOR ABSTRACTS Workshop for Women in Machine Learning Co-located with NIPS 2013, Lake Tahoe, Nevada, USA December 5, 2013 http://www.wimlworkshop.org Deadlin...

BDA3 table of contents (also a new paper on visualization) 21 Aug 2013 | 06:23 pm

In response to our recent posting of Amazon’s offer of Bayesian Data Analysis 3rd edition at 40% off, some people asked what was in this new edition, with more information beyond the beautiful cover i...

Job opening at an organization that promotes reproducible research! 21 Aug 2013 | 05:10 am

I was told about an organization called Reproducibility Initiative. They tell me they are trying to make what was described in our “50 shades of gray” post standard across all of science, particularly...

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